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Canada In 2050
CGC1D0 - E (Rick Hansen S.S Student - insta: @aimen_ff )
Introduction
Demography
Current Trends
The number of births in 2009 of 380,863 decreased by 2011 where there were 377,636 births.
On the other hand, the number of deaths in 2009 was 238,418 and in 2011 increased to 242, 074 people.
Overall Canada's natural increase rate between the 2006 and 2011 census was 5.9%. This increase was greater when compared to the previous 5 year census which had an increase of 5.4%. Currently Canada's natural increase rate is stable with a slow increase of around 0.1% per year.
Future Prediction
Aside from the birth rate currently decreasing, the death rate is also decreasing due to the average life expectancy increasing for many people. Currently it's 80 years for males and 84 for females. We are most likely to continue seeing this number increase over the years. On the other hand, the large group of baby boomers who fall into the dependency load seem to affect the death rate currently by increasing the rate and will continue to up until 2050. Majority of the people in Canada are around the age of baby boomers, and when they die there will be many others doing so too just because of old age in general. However, they too are expected to live a long life since health care is being improved which eventually will lead to a longer life expectancy.
Overall Canada is expected to see a slowly decreasing population by 2050. Chances for a very low birth and low death rate are both high. We can expect the number of births and deaths to being close to equal very soon. This will result in an extremely low natural increase rate for Canada since their wont be enough babies to replace the dying population. And so Canada will need to rely heavily on immigration.
Immigration
Current Trends
By 2011 Canada had a total of about 6,775,800 foreign-born individuals who arrived as immigrants. They represented 20.6% of the total population, compared with 19.8% in the 2006 census, and 17.6% in 2001.
Recently the amount of immigrants Ontario received was 43.1% and British Columbia received 15.9%. In 2006, Ontario had received 52.3% of the newcomers and British Columbia, 16.0%. The decline of the amount of newcomers in these two provinces was due to a shifting of shares to the other provinces.
Among all recent immigrants who arrived between 2006 and 2011, roughly 661,600 or 56.9% came from Asia (including the Middle East). This calculation decreased slightly as compared to when 60.0% of people from Asia arrived between 2001 and 2005.
In 2006 the employment rate for recent immigrants was 58.9%. This percentage increased much quicker than what was expected for immigrants looking for employment around 10 years ago.
Future Prediction
Majority of the immigrants are expected to settle in lesser populated provinces like Saskatchewan. This is because the metropolitan cities like Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver are predicted to become overpopulated and create issues which may regard transportation and a higher crime rate. The impact which immigrants will have when settling at rural areas will be that more schools, businesses and opportunities will open in order for those cities to flourish.
Canada will have an abundant amount of available jobs and chances for employment which is sure to attract immigrants. Many skilled immigrants are going to be needed to fill in the empty job positions and keep the economy running smoothly. Arranged or needed employment in Canada for newcomers will result in a more successful economy. This for many people will also benefit them to better living conditions.
First Nations
Current Trends
The percentage of persons 15 years of age and over without high school diplomas decreased greatly from 37.8% in 1990 to 19.1% in 2012.
Ontario and the four western provinces had the largest Aboriginal populations in 2011, ranging from 301,425 in Ontario to 157,740 in Saskatchewan.
Future Prediction
Adding on, it is expected that the majority of aboriginals in Canada will have at least a high school diploma. The number of people from this identity without a high school diploma continues to decrease dramatically. Due to an increasing amount of school enrollment taken by aboriginal students, more of them will have a stronger education base to rely on in the future. This will be very beneficial for them when they begin to seek for a job while the ability to avoid falling into poverty. As a whole the majority of Aboriginal people by 2050 are predicted to not face poverty, or unemployment to as great of an extent to which many may intervene with today.
Lastly, over the next 37 years nearly half of the Aboriginal people will be living in a metropolitan area. This change will happen once majority of the aboriginals feel that it is necessary to further pursue a higher education, better lifestyle or employment that can be found in more advanced cities. As education in the first nations increases so will the rest of the factors like employment and income.
Zoom Into My Life In 2050!
Conclusion
Citations
2012 Aboriginal Peoples Survey. YouTube. Statistics Canada, 25 Nov. 2013. Web. 12 Mar. 2014. <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r_28gtqsxMQ>.
"A Brief Overview of Immigration and Ethnocultural Diversity in Canada, 2011 NHS."YouTube. Statistics Canada, 08 May 2013. Web. 13 Mar. 2014. <http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AaXidNaHGU0>.
"Canada's Total Population Estimates, 2013." Government of Canada, Statistics Canada. N.p., 26 Sept. 2013. Web. 12 Mar. 2014. <http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/130926/dq130926a-eng.htm?HPA>.
"Canadians in Context - Aboriginal Population." Hrsdc.gc.ca. Employment and Social Development Canada, n.d. Web. 13 Mar. 2014. <http://www4.hrsdc.gc.ca/.3ndic.1t.4r%40-eng.jsp?iid=36>.
"Population and Demography." Government of Canada, Statistics Canada. N.p., n.d. Web. 13 Mar. 2014. <http://www5.statcan.gc.ca/subject-sujet/subtheme-soustheme.action?pid=3867&id=3871&lang=eng&more=0>.
"Rethinking Immigration: The Case for the 400,000 Solution." Theglobeandmail.com. The Globe and Mail, 4 May 2012. Web. 21 Mar. 2014. <http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/time-to-lead/rethinking-immigration-the-case-for-the-400000-solution/article2421322/>.